EL NIÑO, THE WEATHER PATTERN

Important updates from South America

Every El Niño season, we hear the same questions from partners abroad, wanting to understand what a changing climate really means for our destinations, and for their clients' experience there.

This page brings together what each country's own meteorological agencies and press are reporting right now, so you have the facts straight when you talk to your passengers. Filter by destination below to see what's happening today.

Ecuador

September 7, 2026

· Ecuador

INAMHI declares red alert, details Ecuador's rain pattern

Ecuador declared a red alert. INAMHI forecasts more rain on the coast and Amazon, less across the Sierra, from Carchi to Loja.

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Argentina

September 4, 2026

· Argentina

SMN maps where El Niño will bring Argentina's heaviest spring rain

SMN confirmed El Niño near 100% likely through November, forecasting above-average rain in the Litoral, Cuyo, La Pampa, Buenos Aires and northeast Patagonia, with cooler temperatures further south.

Read the News
Brazil

September 2, 2026

· Brazil

INPE and INMET's third bulletin flags drought risk in the Amazon

The joint bulletin found over 90% odds of a very strong El Niño, forecasting below-average rain across Amapá, Roraima, Pará, Amazonas, Acre and northern Mato Grosso, with a delayed rainy season in the Pantanal.

Read the Report
Ecuador

September 2026

· Ecuador

Charles Darwin Foundation flags risk to Galápagos species

The Foundation reported El Niño 2026 threatens Galápagos species by reducing food and disrupting reproduction in marine wildlife.

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Peru

September 2026

· Peru

23 Peruvian regions enter a state of emergency over El Niño rainfall, Cusco stays outside it

Peru declared a 60-day state of emergency in districts across 23 regions, including Lima and Ica, over El Niño flood risk. Cusco isn't among them, though transport access stays weather-sensitive.

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Bolivia

August 29, 2026

· Bolivia

Bolivia SENAMHI's drought monitor shows 17 municipalities already in emergency

SENAMHI's Drought Monitor showed 17 municipalities across Oruro, La Paz, Potosí and Chuquisaca already under severe-to-extreme drought emergency, with Oruro the hardest hit.

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Argentina

August 26, 2026

· Argentina

Rising river levels signal early El Niño impacts in Argentina

Experts warn that a strengthening El Niño is already impacting northern Argentina, with rising river levels reported at Iguazú Falls and along the Uruguay River.

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Bolivia

August 10, 2026

· Bolivia

Senamhi expects Súper Niño to peak with drought in Bolivia's west

Senamhi expects El Niño to intensify into a Súper Niño by year-end, bringing drought to the altiplano and heavier rain to the eastern lowlands and Chiquitania.

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Andes · Chile

August 8, 2026

· Andes · Chile

El Niño expected to bring wetter conditions to central Chile

As El Niño intensifies toward its expected November peak, Chile's Meteorological Directorate projects above-average rainfall across central and south-central Chile during late winter and early spring, following heavy storms recorded earlier in the season.

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Global

August 2026

· Global

WMO confirms El Niño is firmly established

WMO confirmed El Niño was established, forecasting near 100% odds it persists through February 2027, very strong.

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Peru

August 28, 2026

· Peru

ENFEN forecasts an extraordinary-magnitude El Niño through January 2027

ENFEN forecasts El Niño reaching extraordinary magnitude from September 2026 to January 2027, with record air temperatures and above-normal rain likely on Peru's north coast.

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Global

July 3, 2026

· Global

WMO points to a rapid strengthening

WMO reported a fast move toward a strong El Niño for July-September 2026, with strong model agreement.

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Peru

May 17, 2026

· Peru

Peru's ENFEN confirms a weak-to-moderate coastal El Niño

ENFEN reported a weak coastal El Niño, possibly moderate by August, likely continuing through February 2027.

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Chile

April 29, 2026

· Chile

Chile confirms a shift toward El Niño

DMC forecast rain from normal to above normal from southern Atacama through northern Los Lagos and part of Aysén, dry conditions holding in the north.

Read the Report

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Our Condor team follows these sources closely, so you can keep your passengers informed before they travel. If anything here raises a question, we're always glad to talk it through.